A number of sportsbooks are now
offering betting on college basketball totals, which many bettors believe is
easier in many cases than trying to predict the point spread winner. College
basketball totals work the same way as football or NBA totals and the bettor
risks $11 to $10.
The fact that not all sportsbooks allow college totals and those that do offer relatively small limits is the first hint that sharp sports bettors can gain an advantage over the books when it comes to college basketball totals. A general rule of thumb in sports betting is that the more difficult a sport is to beat the more bettors are allowed to wager.
The fact that not all sportsbooks allow college totals and those that do offer relatively small limits is the first hint that sharp sports bettors can gain an advantage over the books when it comes to college basketball totals. A general rule of thumb in sports betting is that the more difficult a sport is to beat the more bettors are allowed to wager.
Bettors would be wise to follow the
steps of Edward Golden, owner of Right Angle Sports, who is recognized as one
of the very best college basketball totals handicappers around. When Right
Angle Sports college totals are released, the line will generally move three to
four points.
Golden's philosophy is to
concentrate on the smaller conferences, which don't get nearly as much
attention as the major conferences, as well as those conferences that happen to
be close to your location. A sports bettor living in the East is more likely to
have a better feel for what is taking place in the MAAC than what is taking
place in the Big Sky Conference.
Tips
For College Totals Bettors
One thing college totals bettors
should do is try to watch as many games as possible to see the story behind the
final score. Knowing if a team can handle defensive pressure or if a team has
trouble against a zone defense can be valuable bits of information when it
relates to betting totals. Field goals and field goal percentages can be misleading
without knowing exactly how they occurred. If a team is averaging a high number
of points early in the season because they've played primarily running teams,
there is the possibility for a good under wager when the squad faces a team
that stresses defense.
Three-point percentages, both for and against, is another factor to take into consideration when looking at totals. Games that should go under the total can often find ways to go over if a team can manage to hit several long-range shots in the final minutes. Likewise, a poor-shooting 3-point team can see games end up going under the total if they are forced to try and play catch-up in the final minutes.
Most college basketball totals are
going to be in the 130 to 150 range, but bettors will run into numbers ranging
from 110 to 170. Don't be afraid to go under a low number or go over on a high
number if your handicapping suggests that is the correct wager. There is a
reason the lines were posted as they were.
Bettors should also pay attention to
line movements throughout the day, especially on the non-televised, non-marquee
games. A line movement on a nationally televised game may be the result of the
public betting one particular way. A line movement on the total between two
small, little-known teams is more likely to be the result of sharp bettors
getting their wagers down.
Finally, one
of the biggest keys to betting college basketball totals is to shop for the
best line available. Because of the smaller betting limits, sportsbooks are
quicker to move lines, and those bettors who take a bit of time to ensure
they're betting into the best available number are generally rewarded with some
additional wins at the end of the season.